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RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD Analysis

Returns | 1W : 9.6% , 1M : 12.5%,1Y : 14.7%
BSE : 532527     NSE : RKFORGE   
LT :  
    Long Term Analysis
Fundamentals : Good
Valuation : Bad [Stock is Expensive]
Debt : High
  
The long term FVD (Fundamentals - Valuation - Debt) Squares represent long term view for a company based on Annual Earnings, Valuation and Debt of the stock. This summary is suitable for Investors investing in the market with a time horizon of more than 3 years. For Banks, NPA/Advances ratio is considered instead of Debt.

Good
Average
Bad
Updated:
ST :  
    Short Term Analysis
Quarterly Earnings Trend : Downward
Price Momentum : Upward
Pledged Shares : Average [>25% and <50%]
  
The short term QPP (Quarterly Earnings Trend- Price Momentum - Pledged Shares) Squares represent short term view for a company which is suitable for Traders taking positions in the market with a time horizon of less than 3 years .

Good
Average
Bad
Nov 26,2020
Price(EOD): Rs. 408.95
This is the End-of-Day (EOD) Stock Price updated daily by 10 pm IST.
Industry : Forgings
MarketCap: Rs. 1,308.64 Cr
Latest Annual Report(BSE)
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Check out Industry Peers

Peers & Returns1W1M1Y
RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD 9.6% 12.5% 14.7%
BHARAT FORGE LTD 3.1% 11.7% 5.8%
MAHINDRA CIE AUTOMOTIVE LTD 2.1% 14% 1.5%
MM FORGINGS LTD 11.7% 21.4% -5.7%

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD

Fundamental Score of the company compares the financial strength of the company with it's Industry peers as well as other companies in the stock market.

Fundamental Score is derived based on the statistical analysis of 5+ years historical data for consistency, drift and industry outperformance of underlying attributes listed below:

1. Company size based on Revenues. Learn More
2. Growth based on Revenues . Learn More
3. Profit Margins. Learn More
4. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE). Learn More
5. Debt Ratios. Learn More
6. Return on Equity (ROE) 7. NPA / Advances Ratio (Banks) 8. Net Interest Margin (Banks) 9. Operating Cash flow / Sales ratio Please check the Financials tab for more information.
Fundamentals Score
[Last Annual Data : Mar2020 | TTM
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) is calculated using last 4 quarterly data and is a good substitute to track Annual results.
Learn More
]
Show Me the Stocks with Fundamentals better than RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTDPremium

As on 26-Nov-2020, the Fundamentals of RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD are Strong and hence it's good for long term investment! See Financial Performance of RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD. Please look at the other parameters such as Valuation, Price Momentum, News & Corporate Governance and/or consult an Investment Advisor before taking an investment decision!


VALUATION OF RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD

Valuation Score of the company compares the current market value with the intrinsic/fair value of the business as compared to other companies. The fair value has been calculated based on three models:

1. Median Enterprise Value to EBIDTA model calculated over last 12 years data (where available).
Enterprise Value = Market Cap + Debt - Cash. Learn More

2. Median Enterprise Value to Sales model calculated over last 12 years data (where available).
Enterprise Value = Market Cap + Debt - Cash. Learn More

3. Median Price to Sales model calculated over last 12 years data (where available). This model is useful to analyze no profit companies. Learn More

Valuation Score
RatioValue
P/E
P/B
P/S
138.63
P/E Calculated based on EPS of 2.95
[ Mar2020 - Standalone Results ]

1.53
P/B Calculated based on Book Value of 266.85
[ Mar2020 - Standalone Results ]

1.55
P/S Calculated based on Revenues of 843.074 Cr
[ TTM - Standalone Results ]

Show Me the Stocks with Valuation better than RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTDPremium

As on 26-Nov-2020, RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD is Over Valued and hence NOT a good buying opportunity according to Share Valuation at this time!


INTRINSIC VALUE OF RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD

This section compares the current market price of the stock with Intrinsic value of the stock calculated based on 3 Valuation models described in the Valuation section.

If Intrinsic Value (Enterprise Value/EBIDTA Model) is -ve, the company made a loss in last financial year or had a high debt.

If Intrinsic Value (Enterprise Value/Sales Model) is -ve, the company had a high debt in the last financial year.

If Intrinsic Value (EV/Sales OR Price/Sales Model) is 0, the latest data is not available.
Model Discount(-)/
Premium(+)
EV/EBIDTA
EV/Sales
Price/Sales
65%
62%
53%

As on 26-Nov-2020, the Intrinsic Value of RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD is Rs. 252.03 determined based on Median of the 3 historical models.
Intrinsic Value based on Median EV / EBIDTA Model : Rs. 248.04
Intrinsic Value based on Median EV / Sales Model : Rs. 252.03
Intrinsic Value based on Median Price / Sales Model : Rs. 267.41
Median Intrinsic Value of RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD : Rs. 252.03

As on 26-Nov-2020, RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD is trading at a Premium of 62% based on the Median Intrinsic Value!


SHARE PRICE MOMENTUM OF RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD

DEBT

Year Debt/Equity ratio
Debt/Equity ratio analysis

For all non-Banking industries,
Good = Ratio less than 0.4
Average = Ratio between 0.4 and 0.6
Bad = Ratio greater than 0.6

Worst is considered between Standalone & Consolidated
Standalone Consolidated
2020
2019
2018
Avg_3yrs
 1.09
1.02
1.09
1.07 		1.14
1.05
1.12
1.1
[Last Annual Data : Mar2020]

PLEDGED SHARES

Pledged Shares
34.32 %
As on : Sep2020

If less than 25%
Good
If between 25% and 50% Neutral
If greater than 50% Bad

QTRLY RESULTS

Standalone 1 Qtr Growth 4 Qtr Growth
Revenue
Op Profit
EBIDT
Net Income
117.93%
-5384.74%
-106.48%
-107.83%
-3.14%
-2.69%
120.05%
191.15%
QtrlyTrend
 -2
Quarterly Trend analysis

The growth rate score are assigned as under:
If ratio's 1Q growth is +ve, then 1. If -ve, then -1.
If ratio's 4Q growth is +ve, then 1.If -ve, then -1.
Growth Score= Sum of all the above scores for Revenue, Operating Profit and Net Income.

Interpretation
Good = Growth Score >=4
Neutral = Growth Score between 0 and 4
Bad = Growth Score less than 0
Latest Qtr: Sep2020




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Disclosure

The Founder of this website, Mr. Rohit Katiyar is registered with SEBI as a Research Analyst [INH000007377].
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